Positions and changes made by hedge funds across commodities, forex, bonds and stock index futures during the week to February 16.Saxo Bank publishes weekly Commitment of Traders reports (COT) covering leveraged fund positions in commodities, bonds and stock index futures. For IMM currency futures and the VIX, we use the...
Podcast: Is equity market already smelling the yield spike?
Today we look at suddenly deteriorating risk sentiments, triggered at first blush overnight by a very weak session in mainland Chinese equities, although the US has been slipping since last Tuesday's record high, and we suspect the spike in global long yields is at the root of the case of...
GBPJPY is approaching support, potential bounce | 22 Feb 2021
Price is approaching support where we could see a bounce above this level. Ichimoku cloud is showing signs of bullish pressure as well in line with our bullish bias.
GBPJPY is approaching support, potential bounce | 22 Feb 2021
Price is approaching support where we could see a bounce above this level. Ichimoku cloud is showing signs of bullish pressure as well in line with our bullish bias.
Market Quick Take – February 22, 2021
Equities are mixed to start the week in Asia after another weak close in the US, possibly in part due to concerns that rapidly rising bond yields are a challenge to elevated valuations. The US 10-year yield, for example, closed at a new cycle high on Friday and treasury futures...
Breakout Identified in GBPJPY
The Breakout Opportunities system has just bought GBPJPY at 148.215. The system recommends entering this trade at any price between 147.981 and 148.45. The signal was issued because the GBPJPY has broken its 24-hour high while our Speculative Sentiment Index was at -1.901, suggesting that the GBPJPY may have further...
Macro Dragon WK #9: Powell Testimony, RBNZ, BoK, E-Feb, KVP’s Tues Asymmetrical Trades Webinar
Macro Dragon = Cross-Asset Daily Views that could cover anything from tactical positioning, to long-term thematic investments, key events & inflection points in the markets, all with the objective of consistent wealth creation overtime. (These are solely the views & opinions of KVP, & do not constitute any trade or...
Exceptional Returns, with Global Macro Trader & Nature Conservationist Geoffrey Chen
Our third Dragon Interview takes us to an outlier's outlier, with world-class trader & investor Geo Chen. Geo has been running his own capital across both liquid & illiquid strategies & allocations since 2017, Clocking exceptional returns in the process, which more importantly fuels Geo & his family's passion &...
Emerging market debt poises a threat amid rising US real yields
Emerging market debt is showing signs of distress as US Treasury yields are rising. On Tuesday, Indonesia local currency bond issuance lacked demand for the full size. Yesterday, the country's central bank cut interest rates amid concerns that inflation is low and the recovery slow. Despite continuous sign of stress...
FX Update: FX brushes off rising yields, pounding the USD
The rise in global bond yields this week has buffeted risk sentiment, but a strong buy-the-dip mentality in risky assets seems to prevail, especially this morning in Europe, helping the USD back lower and sending GBPUSD to 1.4000 and AUDUSD to new cycle highs. Can sentiment continue to look through...