How should I invest? It is single-most asked question in the financial industry by retail investors. Here is a guide for how to think about the problem.I often get the question from clients, friends, and family which stocks they should buy. I do not see myself as the new Warren...
Equities dip, but FX points to fresh risk sentiment boost
Today we look at the slight dip in risk sentiment in US equities, but note a more risk-on tone in FX, where the USD and JPY are continuing south and the formerly beleaguered Aussie has staged a v-shaped recovery from recent lows. A look at oil in the wake of...
Market Quick Take – September 2, 2021
US equities rolled over back to the downside after attempting a run at the highs after US private payrolls growth for August came in at about half of the rate the market was expecting, according to the ADP survey. Elsewhere, Ethereum is grabbing the spotlight in the crypto-space with a...
Monthly Fixed Income Chart Pack
We find that the summer government bond rally did little to tighten corporate bond spreads further. In the United States, we begin to see signs of distress from the money market space as Congress hasn't reached an agreement regarding the debt ceiling. In Europe, despite the recent selloff, EUR-hedged US...
Macro Dragon Reflections: Afghanistan – The Return of the Taliban. What if, This Time Its Different?
Our latest Macro Dragon Reflections think piece highlights Afghanistan & the Return of the Taliban, with the most contrarian of pathways. This is a country of +33M people, with one of the lowest GDP per capitas figures in the world. The market cap of Apple is +34x larger than Afghanistan's...
Will EU defence contractors benefit in a post Afghanistan period?
With the US exit from Afghanistan the Nixon Doctrine from post the Vietnam war is now completed. That leaves Europe in a new situation and potentially a growth path for European defence contractors.There have been many political analyses about how the US has badly executed its exit from Afghanistan, but...
FX Update: Resurgence in EU yields supports euro rally.
EU sovereign yields got a big boost yesterday from a higher than expected EU inflation print, but also on a couple of known hawks arguing for a reduction of stimulus. But the fact that EU yields have moved at all, especially relative to the moribund activity in US yields, has...
AUDUSD facing bullish pressure | 1 sept 2021
AUDUSD holding above ascending trendline support. With technical indicators showing room for further bullish momentum, a further push up above our entry at 0.73239 towards our take profit at 0.73854 could be possible. Our take profit is also a strong Fibonacci confluence zone as well. Any opinions, news, research, analyses,...
OPEC+ set to boost production further as demand outlook improves?
Crude oil trades steady ahead of today's virtual OPEC+ meeting where the group will meet to assess the global supply and demand situation, and given the latest developments we see no reason why the group should not go ahead and agree on a monthly increase of 400,000 barrels/day, this time...
EURJPY Facing Bullish Pressure | 1 Sept 2021
EURJPY holding above ascending trendline support. Technical indicators calling for further bullish momentum above our entry at 129.701 towards graphical swing high and our take profit at 131.090. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is"...