Prices are approaching 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension fibonacci confluence . Prices might reverse and push down towards horizontal swing low support in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 161.8% Fibonacci retracement. If prices continue to push up, prices might face resistance from horizontal swing high resistance in...
NZDJPY approaching pivot, potential for bounce
NZDJPY is approaching pivot in line with horizontal overlap support in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension. Prices might push up towards horizontal swing high resistance in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension. If prices continue to push down, prices might take support from...
AUDCAD Approaching Pivot, Potential For Reversal | 22 June 2021
AUDJPY pushing higher, coming close to descending trendline resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement. A short-term intraday drop below our entry at 0.93302 towards our take profit at 0.92616 could be possible. Our take profit is a strong confluence zone where we have a graphical swing low support and multiple key...
Podcast: Has the market already full priced a Fed tightening cycle?
Today we look at yesterday's sharp rally in US equities that completely reversed the move from Friday. Elsewhere, long US treasury yields rose sharply just after posting new lows, while the moves at the front end of the yield curve (Fed expectations) and the rally in the US dollar since...
COT: Dollar and metals sold, energy bought ahead of FOMC
Futures positions and changes made by hedge funds across commodities, forex, bonds and stock indices up until last Tuesday, June 15. A week that covered the period up until last week's FOMC meeting and the hawkish surprise it delivered. Apart from a weaker dollar which attracted additional short selling some...
AUDJPY Facing Bullish Pressure | 22 June 2021
AUDJPY is facing bullish pressure above 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and our entry at 82.905. With technical indicators showing room for further bullish momentum, a further push up towards our take profit at 84.070 could be possible. Our take profit also falls in line with 78.6% and -61.8% Fibonacci retracement,...
Market Quick Take – June 22 2021
Equities came roaring back and erased the losses from Friday and longer US treasuries sold off heavily, suggesting that the action to end last week may have had more to do with options and futures expiry rather than with the FOMC meeting. Elsewhere, the USD strength and Fed rate hike...
NAS100 Hourly Needs More Commitments From Bulls
FXCM's NAS100 is in the bullish area on the daily chart on the left. The hourly EMAs and stochastic are in bullish mode but each is showing a convergence/loss of momentum. If the EMAs are able to switch to diverging, developing angle, and separation, it may indicate that the short-term traders are starting to align...
FX Update: Digesting the FOMC reaction.
The market has made a significant adjustment in the wake of the FOMC meeting last week, but the action at the start of this week suggests that any follow-on move from here could be fitful, as we have a long few months to watch data develop and as the Fed...
Fixed income market: the week ahead
The message coming from the bond market is clear: a new tightening cycle has begun, but it won't last for long. The short part of the yield curve rises because the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates in money markets. Nevertheless, plunging yields in the long part of the curve...