Today we look at the US equity market having now broken the massive trend support that otherwise fed the success of the buy-the-dip mentality for most of this year. Interesting and potentially aggravating external factors this time around that risk driving the most significant correction this year include the risk...
Market Quick Take – September 20, 2021
Global equity markets are in a deepening funk after an ugly Friday close that finally European indices waking up to the large scale correction afoot in Asian and US equities last week. The gloomy mood has extended into trading to start this week in Asia, with the Hang Seng index...
Macro Dragon WK #39: Heavy Central Banks WK Ahead, From the Fed to the BCB to Norges Bank… plus the Asia Sell-Off continues
Macro Dragon = Cross-Asset Quasi-Daily Views that could cover anything from tactical positioning, to long-term thematic investments, key events & inflection points in the markets, all with the objective of consistent wealth creation overtime. (These are solely the views & opinions of KVP, & do not constitute any trade or...
Bonds Will Crash… but Stocks Can Still Soar
Here’s what they wrote: Michael Carr’s June 25, 2021 True Options Masters newsletter detailed “The Most Obvious Trade I’ve Ever Seen”, with a proposal that the iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) will fall considerably in the next 18 months.
WCU: Surging energy sector disguise weakness elsewhere
The commodity rally continues with the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index hitting a fresh ten-year high. It is however worth noting a sharp divide has started to emerge between the different sectors with performance becoming a lot less synchronized than what we saw during the first half of 2021. The energy...
Europe’s luxury makers are at risk of China’s new policy
China's growing focus on "Common Prosperity" is extending to cultural guidelines and could soon hit revenue for European luxury makers. We have recently increased our attention on China due to the recent slowdown and power shortages causing steel production to ease on top of a brewing housing market crisis. These...
FX Update: Market touchy on yield moves, cue FOMC next Wednesday.
Yesterday saw the USD moving sharply higher and sustaining an intraday move for the first time in a while. A stronger than expected US Retail Sales report seemed to show how touchy the lowest yielding CHF and JPY are to anything that prompts a sharp move in US treasury yields....
UKOILSPOT potential trend reversal!
Price is currently experiencing bearish pressure and consolidating between our resistance at 75.24 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and pivot at 74.67. With MacD depicting a cross above the equilibrium, we foresee a potential trend reversal to our area of take profit at 73.93 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci...
GBPJPY is approaching a pivot, potential trend reversal!
Price has recently bounced after testing our support at 152.827 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and is now approaching our pivot at 152.000 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. With MA showing a downward momentum and ichimoku clouds foreshadowing a bearish outlook, we foresee a potential pullback to...
EURUSD short-term bullish momentum | 17th Sep 2021
Price is abiding the descending trendline resistance, we are spotting a overall bearish momentum on EURUSD , however we are expecting price to have a short-term bullish momentum towards the descending trendline resistance. We can expect price to push upwards to the take profit level in line with the 78.6%...